Our computer model predicts a victory for the Kansas City Chiefs when they play the Chicago Bears at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, September 24 at 4:25 PM ET -- for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

On offense, the Chiefs were a top-five unit last season, ranking best in the NFL by averaging 413.6 yards per game. They ranked 11th on defense (328.2 yards allowed per game). The Bears owned the 23rd-ranked scoring offense last season (19.2 points per game), and they were worse defensively, ranking worst with 27.2 points allowed per game.

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Bears vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bears (+12.5) Under (48) Chiefs 25, Bears 18

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Bears Betting Info

  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 16.0% chance of a victory for the Bears.
  • Chicago went 5-10-1 ATS last season.
  • Chicago and its opponent combined to go over the point total 10 out of 17 times last year.
  • Bears games averaged 43 total points last season, five fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Chiefs have an implied win probability of 88.2%.
  • Kansas City won seven games against the spread last season, failing to cover 10 times.
  • The Chiefs were favored by 12.5 points or more four times last season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
  • Last season, eight Kansas City games hit the over.
  • The over/under in this matchup is 48 points, 1.7 fewer than the average total in last season's Chiefs contests.

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Bears vs. Chiefs 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Kansas City 29.2 21.7 25.1 19.4 32.8 23.8
Chicago 19.2 27.2 19.6 25 18.8 29.8

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