On Sunday, September 17 at 1:00 PM ET, the Houston Texans will play the Indianapolis Colts at NRG Stadium. Our computer model projects a win for the Colts -- see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

The Texans were a bottom-five scoring offense last season, ranking third-worst with 17 points per game. Defensively, they ranked 27th in the NFL (24.7 points allowed per game). With 17 points per game (third-worst) and 25.1 points allowed per game on defense (fifth-worst), the Colts struggled on both sides of the ball last year.

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Colts vs. Texans Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Colts (+1) Over (40) Colts 23, Texans 20

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Colts Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Colts, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
  • Indianapolis compiled a 6-11-0 record against the spread last season.
  • The Colts were 5-5 ATS last season when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
  • Indianapolis games hit the over seven out of 17 times last season.
  • Last season, Colts games resulted in an average scoring total of 42.8, which is 2.8 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Texans Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Texans' implied win probability is 52.4%.
  • Houston went 8-8-1 ATS last season.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total seven times in Houston games.
  • The point total average for Texans games last season was 43.2, 3.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Colts vs. Texans 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Houston 17 24.7 15.3 26.4 18.6 23.2
Indianapolis 17 25.1 19.3 22.3 15 27.7

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